Copa Venezuela · Round 1 - Group C
Fundación Lara Deportiva1–4Aragua FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Venezuela
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Aragua FC: match review and analysis
Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Aragua FC in Copa Venezuela on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fundación Lara Deportiva recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Aragua FC recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fundación Lara Deportiva | Aragua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fundación Lara Deportiva: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aragua FC: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fundación Lara Deportiva recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico el Vigia FCSegunda División | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Urena SCSegunda División | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Caracas FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Real FronteraSegunda División | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo LaraSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Caracas FCCopa Venezuela | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fundación Lara Deportiva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aragua FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Avila FCSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BolívarSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yaracuyanos FCCopa Venezuela | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Monagas IISegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yaracuyanos FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaCopa Venezuela | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atletico Avila FCSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aragua FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Venezuela — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anzoátegui FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Atletico Avila FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Petare FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Marítimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamora FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Barinas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Frontera | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
Aragua FC are ranked 2 in Round 1 - Group C, with 7 points from 5 games.
Fundación Lara Deportiva are ranked 4 in Round 1 - Group C, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Aragua FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Urena SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Lara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas SC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Mineros de Guyana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.