J-League Cup · Round of 32
Gainare TottorivsCerezo Osaka
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J-League Cup
- Venue
- Axis Bird Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Gainare Tottori vs Cerezo Osaka: match review and analysis
Gainare Tottori vs Cerezo Osaka in J-League Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Gainare Tottori recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Cerezo Osaka recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gainare Tottori | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gainare Tottori: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cerezo Osaka: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gainare Tottori recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC GifuJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyEmperor Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ-League Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KanazawaJ3 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nara ClubJ3 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ-League Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gainare Tottori’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cerezo Osaka recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kagoshima UnitedEmperor Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vissel KobeJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC GifuEmperor Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cerezo Osaka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J-League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.