National League · Regular Season - 12
Gateshead1–2Worthing
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- Gateshead International Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gateshead vs Worthing: match review and analysis
Gateshead vs Worthing in National League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Gateshead recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 26. Worthing recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gateshead | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gateshead: (0.41 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Worthing: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 2.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gateshead recent form
0.40 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AltrinchamNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WealdstoneNational League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SouthendNational League | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Kidderminster HarriersNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Derby County U21National League Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sutton UtdNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gateshead’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Worthing recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeovil TownNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BarrowNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Norwich City U21National League Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TamworthNational League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| WealdstoneNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Worthing’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Worthing are ranked 5 in Conference, with 21 points from 12 games.
Gateshead are ranked 24 in Conference, with 4 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.