Segunda División · Relegation Group - 8
General VelásquezvsLota Schwager
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager: match review and analysis
General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager in Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
General Velásquez recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Lota Schwager recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | General Velásquez | Lota Schwager |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
General Velásquez: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lota Schwager: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
General Velásquez recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ColinaSegunda División | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportes RengoSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Provincial OvalleSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TrasandinoSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TrasandinoSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportes RengoSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Provincial OsornoSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from General Velásquez’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lota Schwager recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Provincial OvalleSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportes RengoSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Provincial OsornoSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ColchaguaSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Lota Schwager’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
General Velásquez are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 16 points from 12 games.
Lota Schwager are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.