UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
GentvsAarhus
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Europa Conference League
- Venue
- Planet Group Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Gent vs Aarhus: match review and analysis
Gent vs Aarhus in UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Gent recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Aarhus recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gent | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gent: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aarhus: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 0.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gent recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| GenkJupiler Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HibernianUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| HibernianUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| IFK GoteborgUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Gent’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aarhus recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SonderjyskeSuperliga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AC HorsensSuperliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Skjold SæbyDBU Pokalen | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| FC NordsjaellandSuperliga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SilkeborgSuperliga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC MidtjyllandSuperliga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Randers FCSuperliga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BenficaUEFA Europa League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OdenseSuperliga | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aarhus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Europa Conference League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gent are ranked 5 in UEFA Conference League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Aarhus are ranked 16 in UEFA Conference League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mjallby AIF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FK Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | KuPS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pafos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Brann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | SC Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | FC Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | FC Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Kairat Almaty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 | Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 | FC Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 35 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 36 | Riga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.