K4 League · Regular Season - 24
Geoje CitizenvsPyeongtaek Citizen
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K4 League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Geoje Citizen vs Pyeongtaek Citizen: match review and analysis
Geoje Citizen vs Pyeongtaek Citizen in K4 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Geoje Citizen recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Pyeongtaek Citizen recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 15 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Geoje Citizen | Pyeongtaek Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Geoje Citizen: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pyeongtaek Citizen: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Geoje Citizen recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinju CitizenK4 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Jecheon CitizenK4 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Seosan PioneerK4 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| JincheonK4 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Busan I ParkFA Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Pyeongchang UnitedK4 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Incheon SeogotFA Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sejong SAK4 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NamyangjuK4 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Geumsan InsamK4 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Geoje Citizen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pyeongtaek Citizen recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sejong SAK4 League | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| NamyangjuK4 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Geumsan InsamK4 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gijang UnitedK4 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Jinju CitizenK4 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Seosan PioneerK4 League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Yeoju SejongFA Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Jungnang Chorus MustangK4 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Jecheon CitizenK4 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| HamanK4 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pyeongtaek Citizen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K4 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Geoje Citizen are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 28 points from 19 games.
Pyeongtaek Citizen are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 14 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinju Citizen | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 51 |
| 2 | Jincheon | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 41 |
| 3 | Namyangju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 39 |
| 4 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 34 |
| 5 | Geumsan Insam | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Jecheon Citizen | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 31 |
| 7 | Geoje Citizen | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | Pyeongchang United | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Gijang United | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Sejong SA | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
| 11 | Haman | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 14 |
| 13 | Seosan Pioneer | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.