Iraqi League · Regular Season - 9
GharrafvsAl-Jolan SC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 8 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gharraf vs Al-Jolan SC: match review and analysis
Gharraf vs Al-Jolan SC in Iraqi League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Gharraf recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Al-Jolan SC recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 9 conceded across 8 games.
| Statistic | Gharraf | Al-Jolan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 8 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gharraf: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al-Jolan SC: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gharraf recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| DuhokIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BaghdadIraqi League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Gharraf’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 8 GAMES
Al-Jolan SC recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. 4 of 8 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZakhoIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al KarkhIraqi League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Al-Jolan SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 8 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Iraqi League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Jolan SC are ranked 8 in Iraqi League, with 10 points from 8 games.
Gharraf are ranked 19 in Iraqi League, with 5 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.