Liga III - Serie 1 · Group 1 - 7
Gheorgheni1–1FC Bacău II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gheorgheni vs FC Bacău II: match review and analysis
Gheorgheni vs FC Bacău II in Liga III - Serie 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Gheorgheni recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 14. FC Bacău II recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gheorgheni | FC Bacău II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gheorgheni: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 2.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Bacău II: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gheorgheni recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USV IaşiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Viitorul OnestiLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Târgu SecuiescLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| PaşcaniLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Aerostar BacauLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Odorheiu SecuiescLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ASA Targu MuresCupa României | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCupa României | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Odorheiu SecuiescCupa României | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Odorheiu SecuiescLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Gheorgheni’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Bacău II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM AdjudLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| USV IaşiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Viitorul OnestiLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Târgu SecuiescLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PaşcaniLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| USV IaşiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CSM AdjudLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bucovina RădăuţiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| GheorgheniLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Bacău II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Bacău II are ranked 6 in Group 1, with 11 points from 7 games.
Gheorgheni are ranked 9 in Group 1, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Târgu Secuiesc | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Bacău II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Bradul Putna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 2 |
| 12 | Paşcani | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.