Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Gimnasia L.P.vsAtletico Tucuman
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: match review and analysis
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman in Liga Profesional Argentina on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Gimnasia L.P. recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Atletico Tucuman recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gimnasia L.P. | Atletico Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gimnasia L.P.: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atletico Tucuman: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gimnasia L.P. recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TigreLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo RiestraCopa Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Gimnasia L.P.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico Tucuman recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Independ. RivadaviaCopa Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| IndependienteCopa Argentina | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atletico Tucuman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
Gimnasia L.P. are ranked 6 in Apertura - Group B, with 26 points from 16 games.
Atletico Tucuman are ranked 13 in Apertura - Group B, with 14 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
Gimnasia L.P. are ranked 6 in Clausura - Group B, with 18 points from 11 games.
Atletico Tucuman are ranked 10 in Clausura - Group B, with 13 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.