III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 12
Górnik PolkowicevsStilon Gorzów
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów: match review and analysis
Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów in III Liga - Group 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Górnik Polkowice recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Stilon Gorzów recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Górnik Polkowice | Stilon Gorzów |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Górnik Polkowice: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stilon Gorzów: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Górnik Polkowice recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Polonia WarszawaCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Górnik Polkowice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stilon Gorzów recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rakow IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stilon Gorzów’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stilon Gorzów are ranked 7 in Group III, with 16 points from 11 games.
Górnik Polkowice are ranked 9 in Group III, with 15 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Stilon Gorzów | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.