Carioca - 2 · Regular Season - 5
Goytacaz2–1Duque de Caxias
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca - 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias: match review and analysis
Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias in Carioca - 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Goytacaz recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Duque de Caxias recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Goytacaz | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Goytacaz: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Duque de Caxias: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Goytacaz recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova CidadeCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PetrópolisCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Serrano RJCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MacaéCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| América RJCopa Rio | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| América RJCopa Rio | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Goytacaz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Duque de Caxias recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| São Cristóvão RJCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CarapebusCarioca - 2 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Nova CidadeCarioca - 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| OlariaCopa Rio | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| OlariaCopa Rio | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BonsucessoCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BonsucessoCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CarapebusCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Duque de Caxias’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca - 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Goytacaz are ranked 2 in Carioca 2, with 10 points from 5 games.
Duque de Caxias are ranked 3 in Carioca 2, with 9 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Goytacaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Petrópolis | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.