Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 6
GramavsTona
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Grama vs Tona: match review and analysis
Grama vs Tona in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Grama recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Tona recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Grama | Tona |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Grama: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tona: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 0.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Grama recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MontañesaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MartinencTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| L'EscalaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ManresaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MollerussaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| San CristóbalTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CornellàTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BadalonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Grama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tona recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BadalonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| San Juan Atletico de MontcadaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pobla MafumetTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MollerussaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| L'EscalaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MollerussaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San CristóbalTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CornellàTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tona’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Grama are ranked 5 in Tercera: Group 5, with 7 points from 4 games.
Tona are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 5, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Montañesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Europa II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Cornellà | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlètic Lleida | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | San Cristóbal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.