USL League One · Group Stage
Greenville TriumphvsSpokane Velocity
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Paladin Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity: match review and analysis
Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity in USL League One on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Greenville Triumph recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Spokane Velocity recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Greenville Triumph | Spokane Velocity |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Greenville Triumph: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Spokane Velocity: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 2.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Greenville Triumph recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AltaUSL League One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Greenville Triumph’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Spokane Velocity recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Spokane Velocity’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Spokane Velocity are ranked 6 in USL League One, with 50 points from 28 games.
Greenville Triumph are ranked 16 in USL League One, with 24 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.