Regionalliga - Bayern · Bayern - 12
Greuther Fürth II1–1Bayern München II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - Bayern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II: match review and analysis
Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II in Regionalliga - Bayern on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Greuther Fürth II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Bayern München II recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Greuther Fürth II | Bayern München II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Greuther Fürth II: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bayern München II: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Greuther Fürth II recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| EichstättRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TSV 1860 MünchenRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Augsburg IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| FC Schweinfurt 05Regionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| EltersdorfRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LandsbergRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| VilzingRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Greuther Fürth II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bayern München II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben AugsburgRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Augsburg IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EichstättRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MemmingenRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC Schweinfurt 05Regionalliga - Bayern | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wacker BurghausenRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EltersdorfRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bayern München II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - Bayern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bayern München II are ranked 10 in Regionalliga: Bayern, with 15 points from 11 games.
Greuther Fürth II are ranked 16 in Regionalliga: Bayern, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Memmingen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Eichstätt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | TSV 1860 München | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Wacker Burghausen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Bayreuth | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Vilzing | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Bayern München II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Eltersdorf | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Augsburg II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nürnberg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Schwaben Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.