EFL Trophy · Group North - 6
Grimsby0–0Burton Albion
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- Blundell Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Grimsby vs Burton Albion: match review and analysis
Grimsby vs Burton Albion in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 0–0, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Grimsby recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Burton Albion recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Grimsby | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Grimsby: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Burton Albion: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Grimsby recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ShrewsburyLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Notts CountyEFL Trophy | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Crawley TownLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CheltenhamLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Accrington STLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fleetwood TownLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Exeter CityLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Grimsby’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Burton Albion recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HuddersfieldLeague One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PlymouthLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nottingham Forest U21EFL Trophy | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mansfield TownLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Oxford UnitedLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cambridge UnitedLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AFC WimbledonLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Notts CountyLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LeicesterLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| StevenageLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Burton Albion’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.