Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 5
Guadalajara3–3Gimnástica Segoviana
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–3
- 90-minute score
- 3–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana: match review and analysis
Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Guadalajara recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Gimnástica Segoviana recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guadalajara | Gimnástica Segoviana |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guadalajara: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gimnástica Segoviana: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guadalajara recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MarchamaloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Athletic Club IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ArenteiroPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Guadalajara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gimnástica Segoviana recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Calvo SoteloSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Real Madrid IIIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Leganés IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rayo MajadahondaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RSD AlcaláFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Unionistas de SalamancaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético Madrid IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gimnástica Segoviana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gimnástica Segoviana are ranked 8 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 7 points from 5 games.
Guadalajara are ranked 12 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe II | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid III | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.