CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 2
Guadeloupe0–1St. Lucia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- BFA Technical Centre
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 5′
Cards
- 30′Ajani JouisYellow CardSt. Lucia
- 61′Arkelle Jude-BoydYellow CardSt. Lucia
- 65′kurt frederickYellow CardSt. Lucia
- 72′Sulyvan DaraseYellow CardGuadeloupe
- 90′Djamalee BoisneYellow CardGuadeloupe
- 90+2′Allan VulgaireYellow CardGuadeloupe
- 90+4′Meddy CysiqueYellow CardGuadeloupe
Events updated
Lineups
Guadeloupe
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Jocelyn Angloma
Starting XI
- 23D. RouyardG
- 22S. Darase
- 5Y. Raddas
- 4K. Montantin
- 21F. Geran
- 2M. Alphonse
- 17K. Giblaca
- 7M. Citronnelle
- 8A. PlumainF
- 10D. Boisne
- 11J. Gamby
Substitutes
St. Lucia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Stern Christopher James John
Starting XI
- 1V. BarclettG
- 3A. Jouis
- 5D. Lionel
- 4T. Thomas
- 18S. Nelson
- 21G. President
- 2K. Frederick
- 11A. Jude-BoydM
- 14C. ElvaM
- 9D. PhillipF
- 10K. Caull
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia: match review and analysis
Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia in CONCACAF Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Guadeloupe recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 16. St. Lucia recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 13 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guadeloupe | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 29 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guadeloupe: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 2.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Lucia: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guadeloupe recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. LuciaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BermudaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GuatemalaCONCACAF Gold Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| JamaicaCONCACAF Gold Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PanamaCONCACAF Gold Cup | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| NicaraguaCONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NicaraguaCONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cayman IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cayman IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 6–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Guadeloupe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Lucia recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuadeloupeCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BermudaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AzerbaijanFIFA Series | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| St. Vincent / GrenadinesCONCACAF Series | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CubaCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BarbadosWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CuraçaoWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CuraçaoCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from St. Lucia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.