Challenge League · Regular Season - 3
Gudja UnitedvsSt. Andrews
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Gudja United vs St. Andrews: match review and analysis
Gudja United vs St. Andrews in Challenge League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Gudja United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 18. St. Andrews recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 9 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gudja United | St. Andrews |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gudja United: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 2.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Andrews: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gudja United recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vittoriosa StarsChallenge League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MelitaChallenge League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Vittoriosa StarsChallenge League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Mgarr UnitedChallenge League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zebbug RangersChallenge League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Xewkija TigersChallenge Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MtarfaChallenge League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MarsaChallenge League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Vittoriosa StarsChallenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Santa LucíaChallenge League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gudja United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Andrews recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa LucíaChallenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Victoria HotspursChallenge League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BrechinFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pietà HotspursChallenge League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Swieqi UnitedChallenge League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BirzebbugaChallenge League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MelitaChallenge League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SirensChallenge League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fgura UnitedChallenge League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Balzan FCChallenge League | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from St. Andrews’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
St. Andrews are ranked 13 in First Division, with 1 points from 2 games.
Gudja United are ranked 15 in First Division, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarxien Rainbows | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Victoria Hotspurs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Fgura United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Vittoriosa Stars | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Swieqi United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sirens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Melita | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Naxxar Lions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Pietà Hotspurs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Mgarr United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Santa Lucía | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Attard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | St. Andrews | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Zurrieq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gudja United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Zebbug Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.