Serie C - Girone B · Girone B - 8
Guidonia Montecelio 19371–0Pineto
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie C - Girone B
- Venue
- Stadio Citta dell Aria
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Pineto: match review and analysis
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Pineto in Serie C - Girone B on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Pineto recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pineto: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis PesaroSerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LivornoSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LatinaSerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ReggianaSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PianeseSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atalanta IISerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GubbioSerie C - Girone B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| GrossetoCoppa Italia Serie C | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Athletic CarpiSerie C - Girone B | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AscoliSerie C - Girone B | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Guidonia Montecelio 1937’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pineto recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrossetoSerie C - Girone B | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Campobasso FCSerie C - Girone B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ForliSerie C - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SambenedetteseSerie C - Girone B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PerugiaSerie C - Girone B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LivornoSerie C - Girone B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LatinaSerie C - Girone B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GubbioCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico AscoliFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ScafateseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pineto’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie C - Girone B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are ranked 7 in Serie C: Girone B, with 12 points from 8 games.
Pineto are ranked 15 in Serie C: Girone B, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Perugia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Campobasso FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Torres | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Forli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Atalanta II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Ostia Mare | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Gubbio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Latina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Pianese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.