Liga 3 · Regular Season - 6
Guimaraes BvsPacos Ferreira
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 3
- Venue
- Academia Vitoria SC
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira: match review and analysis
Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira in Liga 3 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Guimaraes B recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Pacos Ferreira recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guimaraes B | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guimaraes B: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pacos Ferreira: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guimaraes B recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Marco 09Liga 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TrofenseLiga 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FafeLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeçaLiga 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ParedesLiga 3 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ChavesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| AmaranteLiga 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TrofenseLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MafraLiga 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VarzimLiga 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Guimaraes B’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pacos Ferreira recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São João VerLiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VianenseLiga 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FafeTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VarzimLiga 3 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ParedesLiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AD Marco 09Liga 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AVSFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PenafielSegunda Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FarenseSegunda Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pacos Ferreira’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guimaraes B are ranked 7 in Liga 3, with 5 points from 5 games.
Pacos Ferreira are ranked 10 in Liga 3, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.