K League 1 · Regular Season - 31
Gwangju FCvsUlsan Hyundai FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K League 1
- Venue
- Gwangju Football Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: match review and analysis
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC in K League 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Gwangju FC recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Ulsan Hyundai FC recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gwangju FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gwangju FC: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ulsan Hyundai FC: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gwangju FC recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC AnyangK League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Jeju United FCK League 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC SeoulK League 1 | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Gangwon FCK League 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Incheon UnitedK League 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ulsan CitizenFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pohang SteelersK League 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bucheon FC 1995K League 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Gwangju FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ulsan Hyundai FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC AnyangK League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Incheon UnitedK League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC SeoulK League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Jeju United FCK League 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Daejeon CitizenK League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gangwon FCK League 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Pohang SteelersK League 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC AnyangK League 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Ulsan Hyundai FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K League 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ulsan Hyundai FC are ranked 2 in K-League, with 47 points from 30 games.
Gwangju FC are ranked 12 in K-League, with 15 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 62 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 47 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeju United FC | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Incheon United | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 | FC Anyang | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 33 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.