League One · Regular Season - 9
Hamilton Academical2–1Peterhead
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- ZLX Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead: match review and analysis
Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead in League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Hamilton Academical recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 5. Peterhead recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hamilton Academical | Peterhead |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hamilton Academical: (2.07 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Peterhead: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 0.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hamilton Academical recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CowdenbeathChallenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| SpartansChallenge Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Edinburgh CityChallenge Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Celtic IIChallenge Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hamilton Academical’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Peterhead recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin CityChallenge Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Forfar AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ClachnacuddinChallenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MontroseLeague One | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dundee IIChallenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Peterhead’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hamilton Academical are ranked 2 in Division2, with 22 points from 8 games.
Peterhead are ranked 8 in Division2, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 22 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen of the South | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.