State Cup · Round of 128
FULL-TIME
Hapoel Nazareth Illit4–0Hapoel Bnei Musmus
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- State Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: match review and analysis
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus in State Cup on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Hapoel Bnei Musmus recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hapoel Nazareth Illit | Hapoel Bnei Musmus |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Bnei Musmus: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Nazareth Illit recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tzeirey TamraLiga Alef | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmekLiga Alef | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hapoel AcreLiga Leumit | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ironi Modi'inLiga Leumit | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kafr QasimLiga Leumit | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maccabi Kabilio JaffaLiga Leumit | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hapoel Nazareth Illit’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Bnei Musmus recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedLiga Alef | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TiraLiga Alef | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beitar NahariyaLiga Alef | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tzeirei Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Hapoel Bnei Musmus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
State Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.