State Cup · Round of 128
FULL-TIME
Hapoel Yarka0–1Beitar Nahariya
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 2 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- State Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya: match review and analysis
Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya in State Cup on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Hapoel Yarka recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 2 games used here, scoring 1 and conceding 5. Beitar Nahariya recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hapoel Yarka | Beitar Nahariya |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 1 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hapoel Yarka: (0.38 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Beitar Nahariya: (1.80 weighted goals scored + 2.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 2 GAMES
Hapoel Yarka recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 2 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat GatState Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Kiryat HaimState Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hapoel Yarka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Beitar Nahariya recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ironi NesherLiga Alef | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'ananLiga Alef | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Bnei MusmusLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattLiga Alef | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ironi ArrabaLiga Alef | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalilState Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| DimonaState Cup | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedState Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielState Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Beitar Nahariya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
State Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.