FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Harborough Town3–2St Albans City
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Harborough Town vs St Albans City: match review and analysis
Harborough Town vs St Albans City in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Harborough Town recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 11. St Albans City recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Harborough Town | St Albans City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Harborough Town: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St Albans City: (2.36 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Harborough Town recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacclesfieldNational League - North | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rushall OlympicFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HerefordNational League - North | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Brackley TownNational League - North | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MarineNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hednesford TownNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Darlington 1883National League - North | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Oxford CityNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MorecambeNational League - North | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Harborough Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St Albans City recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury TownFA Trophy | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Witham TownFA Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Three BridgesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Hashtag UnitedFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hashtag UnitedFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from St Albans City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.