USL League One Cup · Final
Hartford Athletic0–1Louisville City
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One Cup
- Venue
- Trinity Health Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: match review and analysis
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City in USL League One Cup on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hartford Athletic recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Louisville City recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 11 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hartford Athletic | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hartford Athletic: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Louisville City: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hartford Athletic recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Las Vegas LightsUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sporting JAXUSL Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Colorado SpringsUSL League One Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Birmingham LegionUSL Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One Cup | Away | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Hartford Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Louisville City recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartford AthleticUSL Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| El Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| San AntonioUSL League One Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rhode IslandUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Indy ElevenUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orange County SCUSL Championship | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL League One Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San AntonioUSL Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Louisville City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One Cup — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Louisville City are ranked 1 in Group Stage, with 12 points from 4 games.
Hartford Athletic are ranked 9 in Group Stage, with 9 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Charleston Battery | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 13 | New Mexico United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 15 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Brooklyn | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 19 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 20 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 22 | Alta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 24 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 25 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3 |
| 26 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 27 | Sporting JAX | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 31 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 32 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 |
| 33 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 |
| 34 | Corpus Christi | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 35 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 36 | NY Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 37 | Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 38 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 39 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 40 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 41 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 |
| 42 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.