Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Mittelrhein - 6
Hennef 050–1Fortuna Köln II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Mittelrhein
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II: match review and analysis
Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II in Oberliga - Mittelrhein on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hennef 05 recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Fortuna Köln II recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 27 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hennef 05 | Fortuna Köln II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hennef 05: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fortuna Köln II: (2.86 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hennef 05 recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS BW KönigsdorfOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Wegberg-BeeckOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Eintracht HohkeppelOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HürthOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Siegburger SVOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Teutonia WeidenOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| PorzOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Wegberg-BeeckOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hennef 05’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fortuna Köln II recent form
2.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siegburger SVOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| FrechenOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Wegberg-BeeckOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Neunkirchen-SeelscheidOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Düren MerzenichOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| SF DürenOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Eintracht HohkeppelOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TuS BW KönigsdorfOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Siegburger SVOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fortuna Köln II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Mittelrhein — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fortuna Köln II are ranked 3 in Mittelrhein, with 12 points from 5 games.
Hennef 05 are ranked 11 in Mittelrhein, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wegberg-Beeck | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Fortuna Köln II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | SSV Merten | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Hürth | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | VfL Vichttal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Frechen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Düren Merzenich | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Hennef 05 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Bornheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Porz | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Siegburger SV | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.