3. Division - Girone 2 · Regular Season - 23
HerdvsSpjelkavik
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Division - Girone 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Herd vs Spjelkavik: match review and analysis
Herd vs Spjelkavik in 3. Division - Girone 2 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Herd recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 26. Spjelkavik recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 19 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Herd | Spjelkavik |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 27 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Herd: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 2.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Spjelkavik: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 2.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Herd recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde II3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Kvik Trondheim3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Byåsen3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Orkla3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Melhus3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| NTNUI3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ranheim II3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 9–0 | Won | |
| Aalesund II3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Volda3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Melhus3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Herd’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Spjelkavik recent form
1.90 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranheim II3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Melhus3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rosenborg II3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Aalesund II3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Nardo3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Molde II3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| hoddNM Cupen | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orkla3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Strindheim3. Division - Girone 2 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Byåsen3. Division - Girone 2 | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Spjelkavik’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Division - Girone 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Herd are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 29 points from 22 games.
Spjelkavik are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 28 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volda | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 49 |
| 2 | Strindheim | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 46 |
| 3 | Melhus | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Molde II | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rosenborg II | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Herd | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Spjelkavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Nardo | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | Ranheim II | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 26 |
| 11 | NTNUI | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 22 |
| 13 | Orkla | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 20 |
| 14 | Aalesund II | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.