National League - North · National League North - 11
HerefordvsHednesford Town
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - North
- Venue
- Edgar Street
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hereford vs Hednesford Town: match review and analysis
Hereford vs Hednesford Town in National League - North on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hereford recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 6. Hednesford Town recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hereford | Hednesford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hereford: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hednesford Town: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hereford recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford TownNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stafford RangersFA Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| South ShieldsNational League - North | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Harborough TownNational League - North | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Spennymoor TownNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SouthportNational League - North | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ChesterNational League - North | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Worksop TownNational League - North | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| RadcliffeNational League - North | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MarineNational League - North | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hereford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hednesford Town recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RadcliffeNational League - North | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Coventry UnitedFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hebburn TownNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| King's Lynn TownNational League - North | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| South ShieldsNational League - North | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spennymoor TownNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harborough TownNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SouthportNational League - North | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Scarborough AthleticNational League - North | Home | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hednesford Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - North — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hereford are ranked 1 in National League N/S: North, with 23 points from 10 games.
Hednesford Town are ranked 15 in National League N/S: North, with 12 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | King's Lynn Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop Town | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.