Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Apertura - 11
Herrera1–0Alianza FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Panameña de Fútbol
- Venue
- Estadio Los Milagros
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Herrera vs Alianza FC: match review and analysis
Herrera vs Alianza FC in Liga Panameña de Fútbol on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Herrera recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 24. Alianza FC recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Herrera | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Herrera: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alianza FC: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 2.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Herrera recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Arabe UnidoLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tauro FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| UMECITLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Plaza AmadorLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Sporting San MiguelitoLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo UniversitarioLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VeraguasLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| San Francisco FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Independiente de La ChorreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union CocleLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Herrera’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alianza FC recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente de La ChorreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo UniversitarioLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VeraguasLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| San Francisco FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union CocleLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MixcoCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tauro FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CD OlimpiaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Plaza AmadorLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| UMECITCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Alianza FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Panameña de Fútbol — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alianza FC are ranked 2 in Clausura, with 27 points from 16 games.
Herrera are ranked 12 in Clausura, with 8 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | CD Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 8 |
Alianza FC are ranked 7 in Apertura, with 14 points from 11 games.
Herrera are ranked 11 in Apertura, with 8 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | CD Arabe Unido | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | San Francisco FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Veraguas | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Tauro FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Sporting San Miguelito | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Deportivo Universitario | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Herrera | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
| 12 | Union Cocle | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.