Hill Of Beath Hawthorn2–0Glasgow University

Real Scored match analysis

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Glasgow University: match review and analysis

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Glasgow University in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Glasgow University recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 3.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Glasgow University: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.