Premier League · Regular Season - 13
HolywellvsThe New Saints
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Bartons North Wales Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Holywell vs The New Saints: match review and analysis
Holywell vs The New Saints in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Holywell recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 29. The New Saints recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 36 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Holywell | The New Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 36 |
| Goals conceded | 29 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Holywell: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 0.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The New Saints: (3.77 weighted goals scored + 2.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Holywell recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Colwyn BayPremier League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TrefelinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Airbus UKPremier League | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LlandudnoPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Holywell’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
The New Saints recent form
3.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Home | 9–0 | Won | |
| TrefelinPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| LlandudnoPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Flint Town UnitedPremier League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Airbus UKPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Colwyn BayPremier League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Cardiff METPremier League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from The New Saints’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
The New Saints are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 34 points from 12 games.
Holywell are ranked 16 in Premier League, with 2 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.