CONCACAF Nations League · League A - 2
Honduras1–1Jamaica
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 27′
- 51′
Cards
- 50′Kyle Allan MingYellow CardJamaicaFoul
- 74′jhen portilloYellow CardHondurasFoul
- 87′Ronaldo Romario WebsterYellow CardJamaica
Events updated
Lineups
Honduras
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Francisco Molina Jose
Starting XI
- 1E. MenjivarG
- 2C. BennettD
- 3G. SacazaD
- 4L. VegaD
- 13J. PortilloD
- 5K. ArriagaM
- 14A. ReyesM
- 18D. MoncadaM
- 7J. ToroM
- 10L. PalmaM
- 9K. FigueroaF
Substitutes
- 22L. OrtizG
- 12A. GuityG
- 6C. MelendezD
- 8J. RosalesM
- 16E. RodriguezM
- 20D. FloresM
- 23J. AlvarezM
- 11D. RuizM
- 17E. ArzuF
- 15M. AranaF
- 21B. RochezF
- 19E. PuertoF
Jamaica
Starting XI
- 1A. BlakeG
- 17D. LoweD
- 6R. KingD
- 2M. FreckletonD
- 22R. WebsterD
- 20K. MingM
- 16K. AndersonM
- 5C. ClarkeM
- 10K. DixonF
- 12J. EastF
- 11T. CampbellF
Substitutes
- 13A. KnightG
- 23S. DavisG
- 3B. CoverD
- 4C. AinsworthM
- 8R. HowellM
- 18D. AtkinsonF
- 14T. Grant
- 21J. NolanF
- 7J. LyleF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Honduras vs Jamaica: match review and analysis
Honduras vs Jamaica in CONCACAF Nations League on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Honduras recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Jamaica recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Honduras | Jamaica |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Honduras: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jamaica: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Honduras recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JamaicaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SurinameCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ArgentinaFriendlies | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PeruFriendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Costa RicaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NicaraguaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HaitiWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Costa RicaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NicaraguaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Honduras’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jamaica recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El SalvadorCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| HondurasCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GuatemalaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| South AfricaFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NigeriaFriendlies | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| IndiaFriendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Congo DRWorld Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| New CaledoniaWorld Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MartiniqueFriendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GrenadaFriendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Jamaica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.