FIFA Asean Cup · Final
Hong Kong2–0Cambodia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FIFA Asean Cup
- Venue
- Kai Tak Sports Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hong Kong vs Cambodia: match review and analysis
Hong Kong vs Cambodia in FIFA Asean Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hong Kong recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Cambodia recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hong Kong | Cambodia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hong Kong: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cambodia: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hong Kong recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BruneiFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LaosFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| CambodiaFriendlies | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MongoliaFriendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IndiaAsian Cup - Qualification | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guangdong XIGuangdong - Hong Kong Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Guangdong XIGuangdong - Hong Kong Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SingaporeAsian Cup - Qualification | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CambodiaFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BangladeshAsian Cup - Qualification | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hong Kong’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cambodia recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timor-LesteFIFA Asean Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MyanmarFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VietnamASEAN Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Timor-LesteASEAN Championship | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| IndonesiaASEAN Championship | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| SingaporeASEAN Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hong KongFriendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BhutanFriendlies | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Hong KongFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TajikistanFriendlies | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cambodia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FIFA Asean Cup — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indonesia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | Singapore | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Vietnam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Philippines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
Hong Kong are ranked 1 in Division 2 - Group A, with 6 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Laos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 3 | Brunei | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Cambodia are ranked 1 in Division 2 - Group B, with 4 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambodia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Timor-Leste | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.