NWSL Women · Group Stage
Houston Dash W2–3Washington Spirit W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NWSL Women
- Venue
- BBVA Compass Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W: match review and analysis
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W in NWSL Women on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Houston Dash W recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Washington Spirit W recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Houston Dash W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Houston Dash W: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Washington Spirit W: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Houston Dash W recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Thorns WNWSL Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boston Legacy WNWSL Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bay FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| North Carolina Courage WNWSL Women | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kansas City WNWSL Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Houston Dash W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Washington Spirit W recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Boston Legacy WNWSL Women | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Portland Thorns WNWSL Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bay FC WNWSL Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| North Carolina Courage WNWSL Women | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| San Diego Wave WNWSL Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Washington Spirit W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NWSL Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Washington Spirit W are ranked 3 in Nwsl Women, with 49 points from 27 games.
Houston Dash W are ranked 12 in Nwsl Women, with 30 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign FC W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 63 | -48 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.