Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Hull CityvsEverton
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- MKM Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hull City vs Everton: match review and analysis
Hull City vs Everton in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Hull City recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Everton recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 16 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hull City | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hull City: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 0.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Everton: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hull City recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NewcastlePremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ChelseaPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SunderlandLeague Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aston VillaPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CoventryPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stoke CityLeague Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Manchester UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| NiceFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KasımpaşaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hull City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Everton recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IpswichPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WolvesLeague Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TottenhamPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Manchester UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BournemouthPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PrestonLeague Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Crystal PalacePremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LilleFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NewcastleFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Everton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Everton are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 9 points from 5 games.
Hull City are ranked 8 in Premier League, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.