4. liga - Divizie D · Group D - 11
HumpolecvsVelká Bíteš
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 4. liga - Divizie D
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš: match review and analysis
Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš in 4. liga - Divizie D on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Humpolec recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Velká Bíteš recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 18 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Humpolec | Velká Bíteš |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Humpolec: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Velká Bíteš: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Humpolec recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znojmo4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chotebor4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Žďár nad Sázavou4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FS Třebíč4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sparta Brno4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bystrc Kníničky4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kuřim4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bedrichov4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Velká BítešCup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Velké Meziříčí4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Humpolec’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Velká Bíteš recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedrichov4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 6–3 | Won | |
| Znojmo4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Velké Meziříčí4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chotebor4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pelhřimov4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Žďár nad Sázavou4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SlováckoCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ždírec nad Doubravou4. liga - Divizie D | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FS Třebíč4. liga - Divizie D | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HumpolecCup | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Velká Bíteš’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
4. liga - Divizie D — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Velká Bíteš are ranked 1 in Group D, with 18 points from 9 games.
Humpolec are ranked 11 in Group D, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velká Bíteš | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Tatran Bohunice | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Kuřim | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Havlíčkův Brod | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Sparta Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | FS Třebíč | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Znojmo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Pelhřimov | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Sokol Tasovice | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Bystrc Kníničky | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Humpolec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Chotebor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Velké Meziříčí | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Bedrichov | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.