Friendlies · Friendly International
Hungary U181–3Italy U18
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Hungary U18 vs Italy U18: match review and analysis
Hungary U18 vs Italy U18 in Friendlies on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hungary U18 recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Italy U18 recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hungary U18 | Italy U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hungary U18: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Italy U18: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Hungary U18 recent form
1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 3 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey U18Friendlies | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slovakia U18Friendlies | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina U18Friendlies | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| North Macedonia U18Friendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hungary U18’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Italy U18 recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia U18Friendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Denmark U18Friendlies | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Morocco U20Mediterranean Games | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tunisia U21Mediterranean Games | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Kosovo U21Mediterranean Games | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Algeria U21Mediterranean Games | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Albania U21Mediterranean Games | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ukraine U18Friendlies | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ukraine U18Friendlies | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Spain U18Friendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Italy U18’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.