Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 · Group 9 - 2
Ilioupoli1–1Asteras Varis
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ilioupoli vs Asteras Varis: match review and analysis
Ilioupoli vs Asteras Varis in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Ilioupoli recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Asteras Varis recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ilioupoli | Asteras Varis |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ilioupoli: (0.39 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Asteras Varis: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ilioupoli recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EgaleoSuper League 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KissamikosSuper League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ellas SyrosSuper League 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KallitheaSuper League 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PanargiakosSuper League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EgaleoSuper League 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KissamikosSuper League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ellas SyrosSuper League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KallitheaSuper League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PanargiakosSuper League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ilioupoli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Asteras Varis recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IlisiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 9 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Saronikos AnavyssouGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AE MykonosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethnikos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Thyella DiastavroseosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IonikosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IonikosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AE MykonosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AtsaleniosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Aias SalaminaGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Asteras Varis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ilioupoli are ranked 8 in Group 9, with 1 points from 1 games.
Asteras Varis are ranked 9 in Group 9, with 1 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AE Mykonos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ilisiakos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Nea Ionia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Thyella Diastavroseos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pannaxiakos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Asteras Magoula | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Saronikos Anavyssou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Kaisarianis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Acharnaikos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.