Primera Division · Apertura - 15
Inca Aruba1–4Platense
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Inca Aruba vs Platense: match review and analysis
Inca Aruba vs Platense in Primera Division on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Inca Aruba recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Platense recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Inca Aruba | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Inca Aruba: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Platense: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Inca Aruba recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FASPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| InterPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Inca Aruba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Platense recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| InterPrimera Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Platense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Platense are ranked 8 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 16 points from 14 games.
Inca Aruba are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 16 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Isidro Metapán | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.