K League 1 · Regular Season - 31
Incheon UnitedvsPohang Steelers
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K League 1
- Venue
- Incheon Football Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: match review and analysis
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers in K League 1 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Incheon United recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Pohang Steelers recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Incheon United | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Incheon United: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pohang Steelers: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Incheon United recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FCK League 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Daejeon CitizenK League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bucheon FC 1995K League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC SeoulK League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC AnyangK League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gwangju FCK League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Jeju United FCK League 1 | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Incheon United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pohang Steelers recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC SeoulK League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Beijing GuoanAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Daejeon CitizenK League 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gangwon FCK League 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Jeju United FCK League 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bucheon FC 1995K League 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Jinju CitizenFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gwangju FCK League 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Pohang Steelers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K League 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pohang Steelers are ranked 7 in K-League, with 40 points from 30 games.
Incheon United are ranked 8 in K-League, with 39 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 62 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 47 |
| 3 | Jeju United FC | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
| 8 | Incheon United | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | FC Anyang | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 33 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.