Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Apertura - 11
Independiente de La Chorrera1–1CD Arabe Unido
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Panameña de Fútbol
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Independiente de La Chorrera vs CD Arabe Unido: match review and analysis
Independiente de La Chorrera vs CD Arabe Unido in Liga Panameña de Fútbol on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Independiente de La Chorrera recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 16. CD Arabe Unido recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 15 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Independiente de La Chorrera | CD Arabe Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Independiente de La Chorrera: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CD Arabe Unido: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Independiente de La Chorrera recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting San MiguelitoLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Plaza AmadorLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UMECITLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tauro FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Union CocleLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| San Francisco FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo UniversitarioLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HerreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VeraguasLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Independiente de La Chorrera’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CD Arabe Unido recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San Francisco FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Union CocleLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| VeraguasLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo UniversitarioLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sporting San MiguelitoLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tauro FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| UMECITLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Alianza FCLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Plaza AmadorLiga Panameña de Fútbol | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from CD Arabe Unido’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Panameña de Fútbol — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CD Arabe Unido are ranked 7 in Clausura, with 21 points from 16 games.
Independiente de La Chorrera are ranked 8 in Clausura, with 20 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | CD Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 8 |
CD Arabe Unido are ranked 2 in Apertura, with 22 points from 11 games.
Independiente de La Chorrera are ranked 9 in Apertura, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | CD Arabe Unido | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | San Francisco FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Veraguas | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Tauro FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Sporting San Miguelito | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Deportivo Universitario | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Herrera | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
| 12 | Union Cocle | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.