FIFA Asean Cup · Final
Indonesia2–2Thailand
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FIFA Asean Cup
- Venue
- Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 84′Dean Ruben JamesNormal GoalIndonesia
- 87′
- 111′Peeradol ChamrasameeNormal GoalThailand
- 116′Elkan BaggottNormal GoalIndonesia
- 120′Kevin DiksPenaltyIndonesiaPenalty Shootout
- 120′Manuel BihrPenaltyThailandPenalty Shootout
- 120′Dean Ruben JamesPenaltyIndonesiaPenalty Shootout
- 120′Waris ChuthongPenaltyThailandPenalty Shootout
- 120′Elkan BaggottPenaltyIndonesiaPenalty Shootout
- 120′Sarach YooyenMissed PenaltyThailandPenalty Shootout
- 120′Shayne PattynamaPenaltyIndonesiaPenalty Shootout
- 120′Nattapong SayriyaMissed PenaltyThailandPenalty Shootout
Cards
- 23′Justin HubnerYellow CardIndonesiaFoul
- 40′Supachai ChaidedYellow CardThailandArgument
- 66′Nattapong SayriyaYellow CardThailand
- 72′Waris ChuthongYellow CardThailandFoul
- 76′Nicholas MickelsonYellow CardThailandFoul
- 81′Nicholas MickelsonRed CardThailand
- 109′Rizky Ridho RamadhaniYellow CardIndonesia
- 112′Dean Ruben JamesYellow CardIndonesia
Events updated
Lineups
Thailand
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Masatada Ishii
Starting XI
- 20S. AnuinG
- 21S. BureeratD
- 2N. SayriyaD
- 4M. BihrD
- 12N. MickelsonD
- 7K. KhamyokM
- 15K. KamanM
- 6S. YooyenM
- 18C. SongkrasinM
- 9S. JaidedF
- 14T. PoeiphimaiF
Substitutes
Indonesia
Starting XI
- 1E. AuderoG
- 2K. DiksD
- 20E. BaggottD
- 23J. HubnerD
- 8L. VickeryM
- 14J. PelupessyM
- 19T. HayeM
- 17C. VerdonkM
- 10O. RomenyM
- 11R. OratmangoenM
- 9M. Lee BakerF
Substitutes
- 3D. MarkxD
- 4J. AmatD
- 5R. RidhoD
- 6R. PratamaF
- 7E. VikriM
- 12M. PaesG
- 13N. ArgawinataG
- 15R. HannanM
- 16S. PattynamaD
- 18I. JennerM
- 21D. JamesD
- 22N. Tjoe a OnD
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Indonesia vs Thailand: match review and analysis
Indonesia vs Thailand in FIFA Asean Cup on 5 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 2–2, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Indonesia recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 8. Thailand recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Indonesia | Thailand |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Indonesia: (2.89 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Thailand: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Indonesia recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BangladeshFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 9–2 | Won | |
| MalaysiaFIFA Asean Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SingaporeFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SingaporeASEAN Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VietnamASEAN Championship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Timor-LesteASEAN Championship | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CambodiaASEAN Championship | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| MozambiqueFriendlies | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OmanFriendlies | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BulgariaFIFA Series | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Indonesia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Thailand recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PhilippinesFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VietnamFIFA Asean Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PakistanFIFA Asean Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| VietnamASEAN Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VietnamASEAN Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SingaporeASEAN Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SingaporeASEAN Championship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| MyanmarASEAN Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PhilippinesASEAN Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MalaysiaASEAN Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Thailand’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FIFA Asean Cup — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Indonesia are ranked 1 in Division 1 - Group A, with 7 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indonesia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | Singapore | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
Thailand are ranked 1 in Division 1 - Group B, with 6 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Vietnam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Philippines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Laos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 3 | Brunei | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambodia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Timor-Leste | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.