3. Lig - Group 1 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 5
İnkılapspor0–1Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor: match review and analysis
İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor in 3. Lig - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
İnkılapspor recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 22. Tokat Bld Plevnespor recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | İnkılapspor | Tokat Bld Plevnespor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
İnkılapspor: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 2.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
İnkılapspor recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Düzcespor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Küçükçekmece Sinopspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Beykoz AnadoluTürkiye Kupası | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Zonguldak Kömürspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Edirnespor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Çankaya FK3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from İnkılapspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tokat Bld Plevnespor recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galata3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Beykoz Anadolu3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KesapTürkiye Kupası | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Düzcespor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yozgat Bld Bozokspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Yeni Orduspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Giresunspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tokat Bld Plevnespor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor are ranked 6 in 3. Lig Group 1, with 8 points from 5 games.
İnkılapspor are ranked 15 in 3. Lig Group 1, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Kartal Bulvarspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Pazarspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Galata | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Orduspor 1967 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amasyaspor 1968 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Düzcespor | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Karabük İdman Yurdu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Beykoz Anadolu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Gölcükspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Silivrispor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | İnkılapspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Zonguldak Kömürspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Beykoz İshaklıspor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.