Championship · Regular Season - 11
InstitutevsH&W Welders
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Institute vs H&W Welders: match review and analysis
Institute vs H&W Welders in Championship on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Institute recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 17. H&W Welders recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 18 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Institute | H&W Welders |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Institute: (2.49 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
H&W Welders: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Institute recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington YouthChampionship | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Annagh UnitedChampionship | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Warrenpoint TownChampionship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| RathfrilandChampionship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Newry City AFCChampionship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Queen's UniversityChampionship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LoughgallChampionship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Institute’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
H&W Welders recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RathfrilandChampionship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Newry City AFCChampionship | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Annagh UnitedChampionship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Moyola ParkChampionship | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| DundelaChampionship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Queen's UniversityChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Warrenpoint TownChampionship | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from H&W Welders’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Institute are ranked 6 in Championship 1, with 16 points from 10 games.
H&W Welders are ranked 7 in Championship 1, with 15 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh United | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington Youth | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Queen's University | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Newry City AFC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Institute | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | H&W Welders | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Ards | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Loughgall | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Dundela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.