NPFL · Regular Season - 7
Inter Lagos1–1Katsina United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NPFL
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Inter Lagos vs Katsina United: match review and analysis
Inter Lagos vs Katsina United in NPFL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Inter Lagos recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Katsina United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Inter Lagos | Katsina United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Inter Lagos: (0.47 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Katsina United: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
Inter Lagos recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plateau UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kano PillarsNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EnyimbaNPFL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting LagosNPFL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Doma UnitedNPFL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shooting StarsNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Inter Lagos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Katsina United recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rivers UnitedNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Doma UnitedNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Shooting StarsNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Niger TornadoesNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kwara UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Enugu RangersNPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rivers UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Bendel InsuranceNPFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bayelsa UnitedNPFL | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Katsina United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NPFL — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Katsina United are ranked 11 in Premier League, with 9 points from 7 games.
Inter Lagos are ranked 19 in Premier League, with 5 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Katsina United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Enyimba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.