Liga Alef · North - 6
Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Alef
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: match review and analysis
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit in Liga Alef on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Hapoel Nazareth Illit recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Hapoel Nazareth Illit |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ironi Baka El Garbiya recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLiga Alef | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Ironi NesherLiga Alef | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'ananLiga Alef | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ironi NesherLiga Alef | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Maccabi Ahi NazarethLiga Alef | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tzeirei Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'ananLiga Alef | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedLiga Alef | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ironi Baka El Garbiya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Nazareth Illit recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey TamraLiga Alef | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmekLiga Alef | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hapoel AcreLiga Leumit | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ironi Modi'inLiga Leumit | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kafr QasimLiga Leumit | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maccabi Kabilio JaffaLiga Leumit | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel HaderaLiga Leumit | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hapoel Nazareth Illit’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Alef — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.