Liga Leumit · Regular Season - 9
Ironi Modi'invsHapoel Afula
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Leumit
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula: match review and analysis
Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula in Liga Leumit on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ironi Modi'in recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Hapoel Afula recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ironi Modi'in | Hapoel Afula |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ironi Modi'in: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Afula: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ironi Modi'in recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi NazarethLiga Leumit | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AshdodLiga Leumit | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Kiryat Yam SCLiga Leumit | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bnei YehudaLiga Leumit | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Kafr QasimLiga Leumit | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Maccabi Kiryat GatLiga Leumit | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Kfar SabaLiga Leumit | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi HerzliyaLiga Leumit | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AshdodFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ra'ananaLiga Leumit | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ironi Modi'in’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Afula recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Rishon LeZionLiga Leumit | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hapoel AcreLiga Leumit | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Kfar ShalemLiga Leumit | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Maccabi Bnei RainaLiga Leumit | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Kabilio JaffaLiga Leumit | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ra'ananaLiga Leumit | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Maccabi Ahi NazarethLiga Leumit | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AshdodLiga Leumit | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| DobrudzhaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kafr QasimLiga Leumit | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hapoel Afula’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Leumit — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hapoel Afula are ranked 6 in Liga Leumit, with 14 points from 8 games.
Ironi Modi'in are ranked 11 in Liga Leumit, with 8 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Kiryat Yam SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kafr Qasim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Modi'in | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 23 | -23 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.