Liga 1 · Regular Season - 4
Isenmulang KaltengvsPersebaya Surabaya
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 1
- Venue
- Stadion Sriwedari
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Isenmulang Kalteng vs Persebaya Surabaya: match review and analysis
Isenmulang Kalteng vs Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Isenmulang Kalteng recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Persebaya Surabaya recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 16 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Isenmulang Kalteng | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Isenmulang Kalteng: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Persebaya Surabaya: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Isenmulang Kalteng recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FCLiga 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bali UnitedLiga 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Arema FCLiga 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Persipura JayapuraLiga 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sriwijaya FCLiga 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PSMS MedanLiga 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bekasi CityLiga 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Persiraja Banda AcehLiga 2 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| GarudayaksaLiga 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sumsel UnitedLiga 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Isenmulang Kalteng’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Persebaya Surabaya recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GarudayaksaLiga 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bhayangkara FCLiga 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Persib BandungPiala Presiden | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arema FCPiala Presiden | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Port FCPiala Presiden | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PSMS MedanPiala Presiden | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PersijaPiala Presiden | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PSIS SemarangFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Persik KediriLiga 1 | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Persebaya Surabaya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Persebaya Surabaya are ranked 10 in Liga 1, with 5 points from 3 games.
Isenmulang Kalteng are ranked 18 in Liga 1, with -2 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Persepam Madura Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Persija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Pusamania Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Arema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Persita | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | -2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.