1. Division · Regular Season - 24
JaiyqvsTuran Turkistan
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Jaiyq vs Turan Turkistan: match review and analysis
Jaiyq vs Turan Turkistan in 1. Division on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Jaiyq recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Turan Turkistan recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 26 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Jaiyq | Turan Turkistan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Jaiyq: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Turan Turkistan: (2.67 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Jaiyq recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akademiya Ontustik1. Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shakhter Karagandy1. Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yelimay Semey 21. Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Aktobe Jas1. Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kaspij Aktau 21. Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ekibastuz1. Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Taraz1. Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sport Academy Kairat1. Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Khan Tengri1. Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Astana II1. Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jaiyq’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Turan Turkistan recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey 21. Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Aktobe Jas1. Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kaspij Aktau 21. Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ekibastuz1. Division | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Sport Academy Kairat1. Division | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Taraz1. Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Astana II1. Division | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Khan Tengri1. Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tobol 21. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Arys1. Division | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Turan Turkistan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Turan Turkistan are ranked 3 in 1st Division, with 50 points from 23 games.
Jaiyq are ranked 6 in 1st Division, with 31 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 8 | 58 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 12 | 54 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 31 |
| 7 | Taraz | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Ekibastuz | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.